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6月制造业PMI为49%，较上月上升0.2个百分点，虽仍位于临界点以下，但制造业景气度出现边际改善。6月非制造业商务活动指数为53.2%，较上月下降1.3个百分点，仍保持扩张态势。分行业看，服务业商务活动指数下降1个百分点至52.8%，建筑业商务活动指数下降2.5个百分点至55.7%。今年以来，非制造业景气度一直好于制造业。制造业方面东南亚菠菜，不同规模企业景气度有所分化，大型企业PMI重回扩张区间，中型企业PMI也有所回升，但小型企业PMI继续下滑。生产、需求均有所回升，且生产改善幅度更大，生产指数回升0.7个百分点至50.3%，新订单指数回升0.3个百分点至48.6%。但新出口订单指数为46.4%，较上月下降0.8个百分点，指向外需尚未回暖，出口继续承压。价格指数上行，主要原材料购进价格指数和出厂价格指数分别为45.0%和43.9%，较上月上升4.2和2.3个百分点。由于PMI价格分项和PPI走势相关性较高，6月PPI环比有望改善。